We’re 12 weeks into the 2023 NFL season and we have a handful of trends that continue to consistently hit week-after-week, most notably the Chiefs second-half Under and Vikings first-quarter Under — each of which hasn’t lost yet! They’re unusual bets to make, but we’re here to make money, so who cares?
The question is though, do we just keep hammering these NFL betting trends that refuse to lose, or should we back off now since all trends come to an end and these ones might be approaching their expiration date?
The answer to that question is a simple one. If NFL odds show an overwhelming reaction to trends like this, then it’s probably time to back off.
For example, the first quarter totals in the Vikings’ last two games were all the way down to 7.5, but still, they easily went Under that number in both games. If that number drops to 6.5 for their next game, it then might be time to walk away as a simple touchdown and extra point will blow up the trend.
Basing your NFL picks on trends I dish out in this article each week can be fun, but bet smart and don’t fall into the trap of blindly betting something, because you might be getting ripped off.
That’s enough lecturing from me, let’s get into the good stuff!
